Early in the American session, the Euro (EUR/USD) is trading around 1.0952, below the 21 SMA, and below the psychological level of 1.10.

Yesterday, the euro reached a high of 1.1008 which coincides with the price levels of November. Since then, we observed a strong exhaustion of the bullish strength. EUR/USD is now consolidating below the 21 SMA.

EUR/USD is likely to continue a downward movement in the next few hours. Hence, the instrument could reach 5/8 Murray located at 1.0864 or even the 200 EMA located at 1.0854.

According to the 1-hour chart, the eagle indicator is giving an extremely overbought signal, so we expect a technical correction towards the daily support of 1.0908 or EUR/USD could even reach 1.0864 (5/8 Murray).

In case EUR/USD reaches the key 1.0900 level, a technical bounce towards 1.0950 and 1.0983 could occur. If bearish pressure persists, the euro could find another technical bounce around 1.0864. Both levels could allow us to buy with the target at 1.0986.

As long as the euro trades below the psychological level of 1.10, the outlook will remain negative. Therefore, EUR/USD could return to 4/8 Murray levels at 1.0742 in the coming days.