empty
16.04.2025 05:12 AM
EUR/USD Forecast for April 16, 2025

Yesterday, the euro zone's ZEW economic sentiment indicators for April were disappointing. The index plunged from 39.8 in March to -18.5, far below the forecast of 13.2. We believe the European business community is taking a more realistic view of the trade war's consequences than the media suggests and is also skeptical about the "off-budget" plan to ramp up defense production. We previously stated that the U.S. will likely be the trade war's main beneficiary. As a result, we view the entire April rise in the euro as speculative and expect a decline once the right catalyst appears.

This image is no longer relevant

The first such catalyst could be tomorrow's European Central Bank monetary policy meeting. We anticipate a more decisive stance from the central bank in supporting the economy and responding to slowing inflation. Today's forecast for March CPI is 2.2% y/y versus 2.3% in February. Core CPI is expected to ease from 2.6% y/y to 2.4% y/y.

The ideal euro reversal point is the 1.1535 target. If volatility increases on the day of the ECB meeting, this level could be reached, possibly forming a bearish divergence on the daily chart. If there is no upward price spike, a move below the support range at 1.1110/50 would signal a reversal.

This image is no longer relevant

The price is rebounding from the 1.1276 support level on the four-hour chart. The Marlin oscillator is breaking into the positive trend territory, indicating that the upward trend is still intact.

Also on this timeframe, the Kijun (MACD) line has moved into the 1.1110/50 support zone, reinforcing its importance as a potential medium-term reversal area.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 24-26, 2025: sell below 1.1435 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1358 within the downtrend channel formed on April 18. The pair is under bearish pressure. We believe the instrument

Dimitrios Zappas 17:06 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Forex forecast 24/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, SP500, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 13:25 2025-04-24 UTC+2

GOLD. Gold Prices May Significantly Decline in the Near Future

Gold prices have recently seen a notable correction amid market expectations of the start of real negotiations between the U.S. and China on tariffs and overall trade. Treasury Secretary

Pati Gani 09:38 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Price Movement of Silver Commodity Instrument, Thursday April 24, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart, the Silver commodity instrument is visible even though its condition is strengthening where this is confirmed by the movement of the Silver price which is moving

Arief Makmur 06:18 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday April 24, 2025.

Although on the 4-hour chart the Nasdaq 100 index is Sideways, the range is quite large so that there is still a fairly promising opportunity in the index. Currently

Arief Makmur 06:18 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 23-25, 2025: sell below $3,333 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)

Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold below $3,333, with targets at $3,313 and $3,291. We can buy above $3,280 with short-term targets at $3,437

Dimitrios Zappas 14:31 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of AUD/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Wednesday, April 23, 2025.

With the appearance of Divergence between the price movement of the AUD/JPY cross currency pair with the Stochastic Oscillator indicator and the price movement of AUD/JPY which is above

Arief Makmur 06:37 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Gold Commodity Instrument, Wednesday, April 23, 2025.

If we look at the 4-hour chart, the Gold commodity instrument appears to still be moving in a Bullish bias, but with the appearance of Divergence between the Gold price

Arief Makmur 06:37 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Forex forecast 22/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:08 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of GBP/CHF Cross Currency Pairs, Tuesday April 22, 2025.

If we look at the 4-hour chart of the GBP/CHF cross currency pair, there are several interesting facts. First, the appearance of a Triangle pattern followed by the movement

Arief Makmur 06:58 2025-04-22 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.